New Research Finds That Industries Have Different Growth Rates
An update to ongoing research by Roger Grabowski (Kroll) and Dr. Ashok Abbott (West Virginia University) supports the use of different long-term growth rates for different industries and the use of the three-stage DCF.
Valuers Run the Risk of Mismatching Inflation Assumptions
During a presentation in the United Kingdom, Nick Forrest (UK Economics Leader for PwC) made some observations that should resonate with business valuers worldwide. In the UK, the Bank of England established its target inflation rate of 2%, but inflation varies hugely from this target, even during noninflationary periods, depending on which factor an analyst uses.
Global BV News: New study of inflation and valuation in German firms raises concerns
A new paper finds that company-specific inflation rates assumed for the steady state are lower than the expected general inflation rates.
New Research Strengthens Support for the Three-Stage DCF
Unpublished research from Roger Grabowski and Ashok Abbott reveals data on firm growth over three stages: startup, stabilizing, and long term.
Delaware Chancery Court Cites Differences in Cash-Flow Assumptions as Cause for Large Discrepancy in Value
In this appraisal action to determine fair value, petitioner Ramcell Inc. exercised its appraisal rights in asking for a statutory appraisal of the value of its 155 shares of Jackson Cellular Telephone Co. Inc. The respondent, Alltel Corp. (dba Verizon Wireless), had converted the 155 shares at a value of $2,963 per share. “Respondent’s expert opines that Jackson’s per-share value was $5,690.92 at the time of the merger. Petitioner’s expert has offered two appraisal ranges, opining that, at the high end, Jackson’s per-share value was $36,016 on the merger date.” Both parties agreed that the DCF method should be the sole method for determining the value. The Delaware Chancery Court, using that method, determined the fair value of each share at $11,464.57. The court noted that the disparity in the parties’ valuations was due to disagreements as to the inputs to the DCF model and how they should be calculated.
Ramcell, Inc. v. Alltel Corp.
In this appraisal action to determine fair value, petitioner Ramcell Inc. exercised its appraisal rights in asking for a statutory appraisal of the value of its 155 shares of Jackson Cellular Telephone Co. Inc. The respondent, Alltel Corp. (dba Verizon Wireless), had converted the 155 shares at a value of $2,963 per share. “Respondent’s expert opines that Jackson’s per-share value was $5,690.92 at the time of the merger. Petitioner’s expert has offered two appraisal ranges, opining that, at the high end, Jackson’s per-share value was $36,016 on the merger date.” Both parties agreed that the DCF method should be the sole method for determining the value. The Delaware Chancery Court, using that method, determined the fair value of each share at $11,464.57. The court noted that the disparity in the parties’ valuations was due to disagreements as to the inputs to the DCF model and how they should be calculated.
BV News and Trends September 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
BV News and Trends August 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
BV News and Trends June 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
The DCF is ‘untestable,’ per new paper
The discounted cash flow method works fine for bonds but not for businesses, projects, or stocks because it is untestable, claims a new paper.
Free model helps take DCF a step further
In an article “Analytical Insights From DCF Value Analysis,” the authors include a free model business valuers can use to take their “DCF calculation a step further and analyze the resulting value into four components.”
Avoid This Mistake When Using an Exit Multiple in the Terminal Year
There is nothing wrong with using exit multiples on the terminal year of a DCF, but the devil is in the details.
Divorce Disputes: When Valuation Experts Disagree
Valuations performed in the context of divorce litigation encounter scrutiny and challenge from opposing counsel and their experts. This puts experts in the unique situation of defending their analyses and opinions. Utilizing proper valuation techniques encompassed with supporting documentation, facts, and statistical market and industry analyses will enhance credibility by increasing an appraiser’s confidence level in his or her opinion. Join expert valuator Josh Shilts and Jeff Robison as they discuss areas in valuation that ...
Is It Time to Terminate the Traditional Terminal Value?
All corporate valuation models rely on very long forecasts of free cash flows. The only question is whether those forecasts are accounted for explicitly by using an extended valuation model or implicitly in an estimate of the terminal value after an explicit short-term forecast period of five to ten years. Given current computing technology, there are good reasons to use projections running out multiple decades. Doing so gives a clearer picture of the long-run issues ...
Valuing Shareholder Cash Flows
The integrated theory of business valuation provides a conceptual framework for disciplined analysis of valuation questions. Too often, valuation analysts are tempted to view individual components of a valuation assignment on a piecemeal basis. Adhering to the integrated theory helps valuation analysts develop base valuation conclusions, discounts, and premiums that are rooted in a shared perspective of the subject company and the subject ownership interest. In the first webinar of the three-part series, Chris Mercer ...
Valuing Small and Micro Businesses Using the Income Method
Focus in on valuing micro and small businesses using the income methods of business valuation. Learn to distinguish differing risk factors between large companies and micro and very small companies. Join Gregory Caruso for a deep dive into problematic areas of actual small-business valuation cases to review theory and tie it into the actual application of methods using best practices and professional judgment. Audience questions and succinct opinions welcomed in this hands-on event.
In a crunch, court adopts company’s DCF model as fair value indicator
In a statutory appraisal action prompted by the 2016 buyout of minority shareholders by the controller of a private company, the Delaware Court of Chancery recently found there was no meaningful market-based evidence of fair value and neither expert opinion, based on standard valuation methods, was “wholly reliable.”
Kruse v. Synapse Wireless, Inc.
In appraisal action arising out of controller’s buyout of minority stockholders, court finds there is no reliable market evidence as to target’s fair value on merger date; none of expert valuations are “wholly reliable,” but one expert’s DCF analysis offers a “proportionately reliable conclusion.”
Lacking Any Wholly Reliable Indicators of Fair Value, Court Adopts Respondent's DCF Model
In appraisal action arising out of controller's buyout of minority stockholders, court finds there is no reliable market evidence as to target's fair value on merger date; none of expert valuations are "wholly reliable," but one expert's DCF analysis offers a "proportionately reliable conclusion."
Fir Tree Value Master Fund v. Jarden Corp., (Jarden III)
High court affirms trial court’s use of unaffected market price as fair value in statutory appraisal involving merger of publicly traded company; high court rejects petitioners’ late argument that, where sale process was flawed and company failed to prove synergies, deal price should act as floor.
No ‘Long-Recognized Principle’ Against Use of Market Price as Fair Value Indicator, High Court Says
High court affirms trial court’s use of unaffected market price as fair value in statutory appraisal involving merger of publicly traded company; high court rejects petitioners’ late argument that, where sale process was flawed and company failed to prove synergies, deal price should act as floor.
Discounted Cash Flow: Speculative or Convincing
Gary Trugman and Harold Martin will discuss, debate, and dissect the pros and cons of using a discounted cash flow analysis, particularly in times of COVID-19. With questions such as how to handle the unknown future, when and how to use past performance to forecast the future, what to do when management gives you a forecast that you do not believe, and what to do when management is incapable of giving you a forecast at ...
Global BVU News and Trends April 2020
Business valuation news from a global perspective.
Global BV News: OIV Journal tackles 10 big BV issues
An interesting roundtable discussion on the 10 big issues in business valuation appears in the Fall 2019 issue of the journal of the Organismo Italiano di Valutazione, the valuation standards-setter in Italy.
Business Valuation OIV Journal Fall 2019
Business Valuation OIV Journal has been created by Organismo Italiano di Valutazione (OIV), the Italian Valuation Standard Setter, to provide a forum for discussion and to foster cultural progress in the field of business valuation. In this issue, articles include "Roundtable: 10 Big Issues in Business Valuation"; "The Limits of Accounting Rates of Return and the Calibration Trap in Applying Accounting-Based Models in Modern Business Valuation Practice"; and "Connecting Economic Value to Company Strategy: Critical Issues and New Perspectives."