Terminal Value, Growth, and Inflation: Some Practical Solutions

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American Society of Appraisers Business Valuation Review™
Winter 2015 Volume 34, Issue 4 pp. 158-172
Fabio Buttignon, CPA, SA

Summary

Terminal or continuing value (CV) is a key element in calculating the value of firm capital in any income-based valuation model. This paper focuses on calculating CV in the context of a firm operating as a going concern, highlighting some of the problems associated with the treatment of growth and inflation, which, although investigated in the literature, are not generally dealt with using sufficiently in-depth analysis. The effect of inflation on forecasted income and cash flows is examined, emphasizing issues that can have a significant impact on value, even in presence of a low inflation rate, such as that employed in CV estimation. Situations are introduced where the impact of inflation can be distinguished, and which therefore require different measures, followed by a discussion of their degree of realism. Simplified procedures within these situations are indicated that properly consider inflation and therefore lead to an internally consistent calculation of CV.
Terminal Value, Growth, and Inflation: Some Practical Solutions
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