Pratt's Stats Data Are Not Biased; the DCF May Be, However

BVResearch Pro
American Society of Appraisers Business Valuation Review™
Summer 2015 Volume 34, Issue 2 pp. 48-56
Peter J. Butler, CFA, ASA
Robert M. Dohmeyer, ASA
Herbert Kierulff, Ph.D.

Summary

At the beginning of Mr. Abrams' article, we are given this promise: “In this article, the author presents a method to reverse engineer the implied growth rates of the Guideline Companies and come to a rational, defensible weighting of methods.” He then claims that there is an upside bias in the Pratt's Stats database and offers an example based upon a single company in one industry to make his case. However, the earnings growth rate low margin/mean reversion bias/asymmetry discussed in the article skews his implied earnings growth results high. We have presented evidence based on a cross sectional, multi-period analysis of all of the relevant Pratt's Stats data that there is no significant bias in the Pratts's Stats private buyer database.
Pratt's Stats Data Are Not Biased; the DCF May Be, However
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