Feedback Wanted on New Model for Small Firm Risk
A variation of the multiattribute utility model (MUM) used along with Monte Carlo simulation forms the basis of a new model for estimating a company-specific risk premium (CSRP) for small, closely held businesses. Excel templates are available from the model’s developer, David Goodman (Jesson, Oslin & Associates), and feedback is welcome.
New Country Risk Data Update Reminds Valuers of Factors to Consider
A data update from Aswath Damodaran (New York University Stern School of Business) helps valuation experts explain how they considered each of the risk factors in assessing value for business assets located outside of the U.S.
BVU News and Trends April 2023
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
Damodaran posts 2023 edition of ERP paper
The “dean of valuation,” Professor Aswath Damodaran (New York University Stern School of Business) has posted “Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications—The 2023 Edition.”
BV News and Trends March 2023
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
BV News and Trends February 2023
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
Damodaran examines impact of inflation on profitability
In his fifth data update for 2023, Professor Aswath Damodaran (New York University Stern School of Business) focuses on trends in company profitability in 2022, including the impacts of inflation.
A Hybrid Approach to Determining Company-Specific Risk
This webinar will first explain the theoretical reasoning as to why a company-specific risk premium is necessary for a small business when using the buildup method to estimate the cost of capital. I will then present a hybrid approach using the multiattribute utility model to quantify the company-specific risk premium. Finally, I will show how to incorporate Monte Carlo simulation into the model to determine the range of potential company-specific risk premium. Attendees will have ...
Inflation appears to have peaked, per Kroll
The latest cost of capital infographic from Kroll says that inflation seems to have topped out toward the end of 2022.
Year-end 2022 data now in the Cost of Capital Professional
Year-end 2022 data, including equity risk premia, CRSP decile size premia, and industry betas/IRPs, are now available in BVR’s Cost of Capital Professional platform.
Global BV News and Trends January 2023
Business valuation news from a global perspective.
Business Valuation Case Law Yearbook, 2023 Edition
January 2023 PDF, Softcover (195 pages)
BVR (editor)
Business Valuation Resources, LLC
Damodaran posts his data update for 2023
At the beginning of each year, Professor Aswath Damodaran (New York University Stern School of Business) generously posts a great amount of data on his website that include risk-free rates, equity risk premiums (ERPs), corporate default spreads, corporate tax rates, country risk premiums, and other data—all of which are free.
Firm nimbleness as a measure of risk
Investors perceive firms with higher levels of inflexibility, such as not being able to scale operations or adapt to changes in profitability, as being riskier and have a higher implied cost of equity, researchers conclude in a new paper.
New Tool in the BV Toolbox—Incorporating Company Specific Risk in Option Pricing Models
The standard practice of accounting for company-specific risk is to leave expected cash flows unchanged and add a CRSP to the discount rate. A preferred methodology would be to adjust expected cash flows for the economic effect of company-specific risk and leave the discount rate unchanged. In this webinar, we will set forth the methodology for adjusting cash flows using a quant-based rather than a judgement-based methodology. We will then calculate call option value via ...
Valuations of German and European banks
The decline in market capitalizations coupled with a positive earnings outlook has led to record levels of the implied cost of equity of 14.8% for European banks and 17.8% for German banks, according to the latest edition of the Alvarez & Marsal’s “Germany Valuation Insights.”
Inflation showcased in lead-off session at the AICPA FVS conference
As this issue rolls off the (virtual) presses, BVWire is attending the AICPA & CIMA Forensic and Valuation Services Conference.
Inflation, volatility trigger increase in ERP, per Kroll
Kroll has increased its recommended U.S. equity risk premium (ERP) from 5.5% to 6.0% when developing USD-denominated discount rates as of Oct. 18, 2022.
Another call to discard CAPM
“Unfortunately—and I write this with a heavy heart—the CAPM is not just imperfect; it is so badly wrong that it is best ignored,” writes Ivo Welch (UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management) in an article “The Cost of Capital: If Not the CAPM, Then What?”
BV News and Trends September 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
BV News and Trends August 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.
Global BV News: Takeover premiums in Canada increased in the first half of 2022
The median takeover premium of Canadian public companies in the first half of 2022 was 40%, a 7% increase from the prior year, according to “Canadian M&A Insights” (Summer 2022) from Kroll.
Highlights From the 2022 NYSSCPA BVLS Conference
Money laundering, earnouts, valuing debt, and SPAC enforcement are a few of the topics presented at the Business Valuation and Litigation Services (BVLS) conference hosted by the New York State Society of CPAs. Here are some key takeaways.
Trugman’s Approach to Assessing Company-Specific Risk
This is an excerpt from the new sixth edition of Understanding Business Valuation, which has a companion website that includes a good selection of full sample valuation reports and other supporting material.
BV News and Trends June 2022
A monthly roundup of key developments of interest to business valuation experts.