ValueTrust has released a seventh edition of its “European Capital Market Study” that serves as a comprehensive compilation of capital market parameters such as cost of capital and implied as well as historical risk premiums for European countries. The study also includes trading multiples and total shareholder returns across a wide range of industries. Here are a few key findings:
- The risk-free rate declined from 0.21% as of Dec. 31, 2019, to -0.14% as of Dec. 31, 2020, the further decline in 2020 largely being the consequence of measures the European Central Bank took to fight the COVID-19 crisis;
- After reaching the highest market-value weighted mean, at 9.0%, as of Dec. 31, 2018, the implied European market return decreased to 7.0% as of Dec. 31, 2020. Overall, the implied market return decreased to the lowest level within the study’s observation period; and
- The technology sector shows the highest multiples on average, followed by the industrials sector; the financial sector continues to have the least expensive valuation level of all sectors.
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