The “dean of valuation,” Professor Aswath Damodaran (New York University Stern School of Business) has posted “Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications—The 2023 Edition.” The 143-page paper is the 14th update of this work, which provides a detailed picture of ERPs as well as a great deal of data, which are all free. In general, there are two approaches to estimating ERP: the ex post approach (using historical information) and the ex ante approach, which is forward-looking. Damodaran is a strong proponent of the use of the ex ante approach, or “implied” ERPs, which are forward-looking estimates that are extracted by examining stock prices today and expected cash flows in the future. Damodaran’s implied ERPs are one of the options available in BVR’s Cost of Capital Professional online platform for estimating the cost of equity.
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